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Cake day: June 3rd, 2025

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  • Maybe it’s just me, but I have never understood the Dunning Krueger effect to mean “dumb people think they’re smart and smart people think they’re dumb”. That was always misrepresented, as far as I was concerned.

    The study itself seemed to imply that it was more about experience with a subject, rather than an intelligence factor. That, the more you learn about a subject, the more realistic your assessment of your own understanding becomes…and eventually you get to a point where you know enough to know you don’t know everything.

    I have seen that effect many times in my life, being someone who works in a highly skilled trade, as well as someone who practices martial arts. In both areas, there is a common turn of phrase to describe this effect…“They know just enough to be dangerous”.

    In martial arts, every student gets to a point where their confidence in their skills, outpaces their actual aptitude. This is because during practice, they can feel themselves becoming more proficient, as the movements become smoother and easier to perform. This leads to an assumption that they are “ready for anything”. An assumption that usually disappears when they are put in a situation where their skills are actually challenged. They quickly realize the difference between “practice” and “practical”.

    But, at much higher levels of proficiency, you get to a point where you underestimate your own success rate, simply because you know how much can potentially go wrong, and are often surprised when your skills prove sufficient to overcome those possibilities.

    The same effect can be seen in highly skilled trades. So many students come out of school with a head full of theoretical knowledge, but not much practical experience, with “ideas” that they swear will revolutionize the industry, and set them apart from their peers. They will often criticize the older, more experienced workers around them for being too “old-school” in their approach to the work, and are convinced that their own “new-school” knowledge will be vastly superior, in practice. This is seldom true.

    Real life experience is often a trial-and-error process that takes great-seeming ideas, and whittles them down to just the ones that actually work. The overall effect being that the less experience you have, the more you think you can do…but, the more experience you have, the more you know you can’t. Very often, this results in more experienced tradesmen being more conservative in what they are willing to risk, even when success is still possible…versus younger, less experienced tradesmen taking unnecessary risks because they haven’t learned the dangers, first-hand.








  • Lol! Wut? I call horseshit on this. This is exactly the opposite of what every other economic analyst is saying. Canada isn’t doing great, but STEM growth is effectively dead in the US right now, thanks to Trump’s political and economic agendas. Not to mention that they’re tightening up on all of their visa requirements for all non-white immigrants.

    The only reason why the US might “appear” to be drawing Canadians, is because most of the STEM graduates already in the US have been fleeing the country, leaving a ton of positions open…for the moment. But, given the fact that most industries are shrinking down there right now, those jobs are also quickly disappearing. Anyone looking for greener pastures down South are going to find themselves stranded soon enough.





  • Lol! Did you not read that blog? You might agree with the guy who wrote it, but he actually includes the data on which button most people choose to press…and it’s blue far more often than red.

    So…knowing that those people exist…you would still push red and risk killing them all, just to ensure you survive? Claiming it “immoral” to save them, is about as bizarre an argument as claiming that it’s even possible for everyone to press red.

    You are in a state of denial, my friend. I get it. You need to justify your decision to risk all those people’s lives somehow, right?


  • The fact that you keep circling back to that excuse, either means that you’re delusional, or simply don’t care that your decision is putting other people at risk.

    Delusional if you seriously don’t understand that people will vote blue, whether you think they “should” or not. That means they will die if the majority presses red.

    If you do know that those people do exist, then still pressing red just means that you don’t care if they die…as long as you personally, survive.

    This entire thought experiment is intended to reveal the kind of person you are. Are you the kind of person that would risk your own life to save others…or are you the kind of person that would risk the lives of others, in order to guarantee your own survival.

    I know for a fact, I wouldn’t trust someone like you to have my back in a dangerous situation. It’s pretty obvious that if my life was in danger, you’d gladly let me die rather than risk your own safety. What’s worse is, you’d turn around and blame me for “choosing to die”, when in reality you were the one that chose to let me die, instead of doing something to save me.

    That’s pretty cold, man.