I’ve only seen a handful of articles from these folks, but they seem pretty thoughtful. This one is no exception. My favorite part:

Given the number of variables, however, much will depend on the wisdom and restraint of Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khameini, and the people around them. And that does not bode well in the short or long term.

This is the closest I’ve ever seen them get to humor, but it works.