• greygore@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Predictable the HN comments are full of people raving about how amazing Tesla FSD is. On one hand, it is genuinely magical that you can get into a car and engage the technology and watch the car drive itself without incident. I took a Waymo in San Francisco a few years back as part of a group and it genuinely felt incredible to be picked up and dropped off without any human intervention.

    On the other hand, the same is true for drunk drivers; that someone who can’t even stand up or answer basic questions can somehow pilot a vehicle home without crashing is kind of astounding. There are people who do this regularly without crashing or getting caught.

    In neither case would I trust either of them with my expensive car, much less my even more precious life, much less the priceless lives of my family. Human beings are bad drivers and we don’t trust them - we mandate they carry liability insurance for this very reason.

    Eventually I may trust the technology enough to support it and use it, when I see cold, hard data that it performs as good or better than a sober, attentive driver. I don’t think we will ever see that from Tesla, who consistently over-promise and under-deliver, to the point many people would consider it fraud.

    People are terrible at assessing risk, and the fact that people are willing to trust their lives to a system that can fail in unexpected ways at any point because it once completed a single trip without incident are proof of this. Even bad drivers go many miles and many trips without any issues, and they drive in all weather conditions without any geographical restrictions.