I personally like to believe that life is not rare because life fucking finds a way and all that.
Intelligent life is likely not rare. On our planet there are several species that might be considered intelligent like elephants, whales, dolphins, covids etc.
Intelligent, extreme tool building life at a detectable technology level from space is extremely rare. I mean seriously, humans have only been detectable from space for less than 125 years out of the 400-500 million years with large multicellular life on this planet.
We developed the ability for a global extinction event from nuclear warfare 80 years ago and we are currently on pace for a global climate catastrophe in the next 200. At the current rate we’ll be lucky to be detectable from space for 200 years.
Recently, paleobiologist Olev Vinn has suggested that the great filter may exist between steps 8 and 9 due to inherited behavior patterns (IBP) that initially occur in all intelligent biological organisms. These IBPs are incompatible with conditions prevailing in technological civilizations and could inevitably lead to the self-destruction of civilization in multiple ways.
I personally like to believe that life is not rare because life fucking finds a way and all that.
Intelligent life is likely not rare. On our planet there are several species that might be considered intelligent like elephants, whales, dolphins, covids etc.
Intelligent, extreme tool building life at a detectable technology level from space is extremely rare. I mean seriously, humans have only been detectable from space for less than 125 years out of the 400-500 million years with large multicellular life on this planet.
We developed the ability for a global extinction event from nuclear warfare 80 years ago and we are currently on pace for a global climate catastrophe in the next 200. At the current rate we’ll be lucky to be detectable from space for 200 years.
Mr Hanson too? This thread is a veritable whos who of extraterrestrial thought.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Filter
I personally like where Olev Vinn went with it.